Markets show signs of pricing in a Trump 2024 win, with rising equities and stronger U.S. dollar.
Sectors & Industries
October 21, 2024
Markets have increasingly begun pricing in a potential Trump victory in the 2024 election, according to multiple financial firms. Both JPMorgan and Piper Sandler noted growing investor sentiment favoring Trump, with shifts in the betting odds (Trump Winning 6-4) and market behavior, including higher Treasury yields, a stronger U.S. dollar, and rising equities.
JPMorgan emphasized that a Republican sweep could lead to further gains, but the current market pricing still suggests there's room for more significant shifts. Meanwhile, stocks tied to Trump, such as DJT and GEO Group, have outperformed those linked to Kamala Harris.
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